Post by bonhommearmonica on Dec 8, 2014 20:11:39 GMT -6
Please keep in mind college would have a different set of statistics..
Hum.........
Money flow Advertisers Alumni
Crap
lets see keep it simple
the idea is to follow power and flows
The college teams madden games is a lazy man way to do this..
Then you have to have that correction factor.. of influences.. it is different then pro but not much.. this is the advantage of data mining and equations.. short cuts..
You have to look for key factors I need time to think here
Post by bonhommearmonica on Dec 11, 2014 17:36:44 GMT -6
I am going to try a new way of writing my post here.. In this endeavor I am having to sit down with a few friends. We have to cover all 32 markets the NFL has, with a focus on the teams. Then we will have to work out the numbers. In the end I hope to be able to put my money where my mouth is.
The two friends I am sitting down with have a wide range of experience. One is a former sailor who pays much better attention to detail. Not to mention, he has a family member or two who loves to gamble at the casinos.. He has a huge eye towards critical assessments both on the fly and with planning. The second is a big question mark in this endeavor. However he has a rolodex mind on the markets and where all the damn data we will need is stored.
That was a great segway to the markets in question.. We will have to jimmy up the markets. Not just cities the teams are in but political climate excetra. These details are up in the air but I think I have enough data to get what we need and we always have the past scores to base it on.
Those numbers will be tricky.. I think we have enough data to do it and a list of players involved. As I stated earlier I have feeling player stats are not important to this but as referred to earlier, It comes down to what we discuss.
I intend to invest my own money in this. I will be talking with a few people I know and see if they are interested in testing the system.
In the end.. Only time will tell if we are correct. First the meeting with both people has to happen.. We get all the factors we consider relevant.. Then we put science to work and experiment
One of the two individuals I will be talking with in a few hours so.. We will see..
Someone might want to check the offices of EA Sports for a time machine.
Last week, the game maker simulated Super Bowl XLIX using their latest Madden video game, just as they’ve done every year for more than a decade.
But this time, they nailed it. Really nailed it.
Not only did Madden NFL 15 accurately predict that the New England Patriots would mount a last minute comeback to defeat the Seattle Seahawks by a score of 28-24, it even foresaw Tom Brady’s fourth-quarter game-winning pass to Julian Edelman.
And that was just the tip of the prognostication iceberg.
Madden predicted New England would score first in the game. It predicted Tom Brady would take home the MVP trophy. It was 27 yards off Brady’s total passing yardage (355 vs. 328) and got his total touchdowns (4). It was only 3 yards and 1 catch away from perfectly calling Julian Edelman’s entire game.
Seriously, this happened. To the footage!
About the only thing it didn’t foresee was Seattle’s bone-headed decision to pass to Ricardo Lockette instead of feeding the Beast and letting Marshawn Lynch try rumbling over the goal line. That and the dancing sharks.
The incredible accuracy of this year’s simulation more than makes up for last year, when Madden completely blew the call. It favored the Broncos over the Seahawks in a 31-28 victory, a 38-point swing from Seattle real-life 43-8 win.
But credit where credit is due. In the 12 years EA has using Madden to predict Super Bowls, it’s run up an impressive 9-3 record. Before Sunday night, its closest call came in 2009, when it was within one point of the final score of Super Bowl XLIII and predicted the exact yardage of Steelers receiver Santonio Holmes.
But...there are only 778 pages to that database. It could happen to anyone, I'm sure. Such pillars of upstanding virtue would never tolerate such chicanery in their midst.
AJ Mast/AP Robert Kraft has often had Roger Goodell's back. Despite one of the ugliest seasons in NFL history thanks to a number of issues and how the league handled them, commissioner Roger Goodell has repeatedly said he has no intention of resigning .
However, Goodell's biggest supporter, New England Patriots owner Robert Kraft, is suddenly singing a different tune and the commissioner's job may no longer be secure.
In a recent story for GQ magazine, titled "The Season from Hell: Inside Roger Goodell's Ruthless Football Machine," Gabriel Sherman outlines just how close Goodell and Kraft have been and how it was Kraft that backed Goodell during the uproar over how the league handled the Ray Rice domestic assault scandal.
According to the story, when the Rice case began to spin out of control, it was Kraft who arranged for Goodell to do his first on-air interview, on CBS with a woman as the interviewer. It was also Kraft who lobbied other owners to publicly support Goodell.
Goodell and Kraft were so close, at least one NFL executive refers to Kraft as "the assistant commissioner."
Kraft was also the owner who "vigorously defended" Goodell's $44 million salary.
The relationship between Kraft and Goodell was further cemented in the public eye when the two were photographed together at a party just days prior to the AFC Championship game. This led Richard Sherman of the Seattle Seahawks to speculatethat the league won't punish the Patriots over Deflategate because of the conflict-of-interest.
But then the league discovered that the Patriots used deflated footballs during the AFC Championship game, possibly inaccurate information was leaked to the press, and the relationship appears to have turned sour since.
There have been several recent incidents, some more telling than others, that when taken on their own can be easily explained away. But when the incidents are viewed as a whole, they suggest that Goodell has lost his most important ally.
Here is a rundown Kraft's recent actions:
Prior to one of coach Bill Belichick's Super Bowl press conferences, Kraft made a surprise appearance and demanded an apology from the NFL if they are unable to prove that the Patriots intentionally deflated the footballs, noting that he is " disappointed in the way this entire matter has [been] handled."Kraft was a no-show to Goodell's pre-Super Bowl state-of-the-league address, a move considered unusual for an owner of one of the team's in the Super Bowl, especially one so close to the commissioner (the team told the Boston Globe that he had a prior commitment). After being handed the Lombardi Trophy following the Super Bowl, Kraft did not acknowledge the commissioner at all, something that raised the eyebrows of many.
Mike Reiss, who covers the Patriots for ESPN.com and whom Peter King of SI.com calls "well-plugged-in," recently wrote that it appears that the relationship between Goodell and Kraft "is not in a good place" and the biggest issue is the leaks that came from Goodell's office.
"My sense is that Kraft feels stung by Goodell, who he had backed in the wake of the mishandled Ray Rice domestic violence case," Reiss wrote for ESPN.com. "The longstanding relationship between the two is not in a good place based on the league’s handling of the team’s under-inflated footballs and specifically public leaks. For perhaps the first time, I sense Kraft is doubting Goodell’s leadership, and if Goodell loses one of his top supporters I wonder how much it could threaten his hold on the job."
Reiss does acknowledge that this could just be something that needs time to "smooth itself over." However, at the very least, the relationship between Goodell and one of his strongest supporters suddenly appears to be strained.
A 44 million dollar salary would get a lot of people thrown under the bus. Seems to me deflategate was a viewership ploy by the NFL and after game stats proved it worked.
You may remember that I dislike most conspiracy theories.
Why people waste their time coming up with this stuff, I don't know. But now we have one on the Seattle Seahawks' final play call in Super Bowl XLIX.
You know the situation: On second and goal at New England's 1-yard line, the Seahawks passed instead of handing off to Marshawn Lynch. Russell Wilson threw an interception. Game over. Patriots win.
It wasn't good enough to just let this rest with it being a questionable call at best and the most mind-numbing call in sports history at worst. There has to be another layer, like the coach wanting to give the glory to his quarterback rather than the controversial running back. Yeah, that's it!
So here goes: Pete Carroll wanted Wilson to be the hero. Not Lynch. Because ... well, who the heck knows. I guess because he's short with the media? Right. But TheNation.com's Dave Zirin wrote about it. NFL.com quoted an anonymous Seahawks player as saying, "That’s what it looked like," when it was presented to him, although that story acknowledged the quote was probably said out of frustration. But you can go on Twitter or Facebook and find many others who are buying in.
And let's double back to why I hate this kind of stuff: It makes zero sense. None. Not even in some far away universe would this conspiracy theory hold even the tiniest bit of logic.
A couple key points: Carroll doesn't make the call; it's offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell (and no, Carroll didn't change the call; he told ESPN.com it was not true that he changed the call from run to pass). Even if you're saying Bevell is part of the conspiracy to keep Lynch from scoring, it entirely ignores that he was given the ball on first down and was tackled a yard short of the goal line. The Seahawks didn't mind trying to make him the hero there. The Seahawks have made Lynch a star by giving him the ball. He has roughly 300 carries per season the last four years. Lynch is one of their best players, one of the biggest reasons they won a Super Bowl last year and two straight NFC championships. "Oh, but his media issues in Super Bowl week" ... nobody on the Seahawks cares. I didn't hear one Seahawk all week complain about Lynch. Carroll defended him. He said, basically, he doesn't want Lynch doing anything to hurt the team (like a penalty for grabbing his crotch after a touchdown) but everything else is up to him. There's no reason for anyone in Seattle to dislike him enough to keep him from scoring a game-winning touchdown. It's ridiculous to think otherwise.
"Oh but the NFL didn't want him winning MVP" ... stop it. The league wouldn't have been thrilled, probably, for the idea of Lynch's MVP press conference, but we're to believe that in the 30 seconds the Seahawks had to decide on a second-and-goal play that the NFL called on them to keep Lynch out of the end zone? Please.
It was just a bad call. They wanted to pass on second down to save one timeout for their last two downs. Carroll said they were going to run with Lynch on third and fourth down, and there's no reason not to believe him. Once the Seahawks didn't hurry in a second-down play, they couldn't have run with Lynch three times. There wasn't enough time. I'm not saying I agree with their train of thought, but that's what it was. It was not, "Let's make sure Lynch doesn't score so we don't have to give him a bigger contract."
No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no. No. No chance. That isn't real life.
The Seahawks, with a Super Bowl on the line and a half of a minute to figure out how to play the next three downs, weren't in deep contemplation about who they wanted to be the hero. If Lynch scored from the 1, everyone was a hero. Nobody on that side, especially the coaches, cared who actually scored. Did they screw up? Sure. But it wasn't some plot to get Wilson and not Lynch up on the MVP stage.
Please, let's stop this conspiracy theory now, because we're all in danger of losing too many brain cells contemplating something that has zero chance of being true